TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate the total points scored by both teams in the second half of a football game, with varying thresholds determining the outcome. Each market has a specific point threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs in the second half (excluding overtime) of their game scheduled for September 14, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market features a different threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the total points scored in the second half surpass the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second half of regulation play are counted, with overtime points excluded from all calculations. The markets are independent, and each threshold represents a separate condition for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading activity. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the game. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public versus expert opinion on the final score.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential second-half total point outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a higher total is likely, they'll buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up the price. The market dynamically adjusts until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second-half total points scored in the Denver Broncos versus Kansas City Chiefs game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine which contracts payout. Traders who correctly predicted the second-half total, or a range including it, will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. The market will then close, and all winning contracts will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Broncos or Chiefs would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, as the game draws closer, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the expected game flow could lead to changes in the price of contracts within this market.