TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a specific UFC fight between Delphine Benouaich and Sofia Montenegro, focusing on how either fighter might claim victory or if the match results in a draw. The contest evaluates various methods of winning such as knockout, submission, or decision, reflecting the diverse ways a combat sports match can conclude.
The event resolves based on the method of victory or the match outcome in the UFC fight between Delphine Benouaich and Sofia Montenegro scheduled for September 5, 2026. If Benouaich wins by knockout/tKO/disqualification, submission, or decision, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Montenegro secures victory by knockout/tKO/disqualification, submission, or decision, that market resolves positively. Should the fight end in a draw or no contest, the designated market also resolves to Yes. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If sportsbooks heavily favor one outcome, but volume in this market is distributed more evenly, it could suggest disagreement about the likely result. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the event's outcome. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially declared method of victory for the Benouaich vs Montenegro match. This includes determining whether the fight ends by knockout, technical knockout, decision, disqualification, or draw/no contest. The official result, as reported by recognized sporting authorities, will be the basis for determining which contracts pay out and which do not. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the event.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the fighters' training, health, or potential injuries would be significant. Public statements from either fighter or their teams, as well as analysis from boxing experts, could also impact sentiment. Unexpected changes in the fight’s location or scheduling might also cause fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each fighter’s chances of winning via a specific method has the potential to move this market before it resolves.