TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a college football game, focusing specifically on how many touchdowns each team scores. The outcome depends entirely on the final scoreboard, with specific thresholds defined for each team. Postponements and rescheduling within a short window do not affect the outcome, but extended delays lead to a fair price resolution.
The event resolves based on the total number of touchdowns scored by each team in the Delaware vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For Vanderbilt, markets are structured around achieving 4+, 5+, and 6+ touchdowns, while Delaware’s markets are structured around achieving 1+, 2+, and 3+ touchdowns. All markets count touchdowns from both regulation time and overtime, but explicitly exclude successful 2-point conversions from the tally. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. However, if the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced betting action, while this market aims for a more accurate probability assessment based on traders’ collective knowledge. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more efficient predictors of event outcomes than traditional odds, though discrepancies can exist due to differing market participants and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Delaware vs Vanderbilt touchdowns market. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to changing expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final touchdown totals for both Delaware and Vanderbilt will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will then settle based on whether the actual total touchdowns scored by each team align with the contract conditions purchased by traders. No further action is required from participants once the event concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Delaware or Vanderbilt would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a run-heavy or pass-heavy offense, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also shift expectations. Finally, any large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed opinion and move the market accordingly.