TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will dominate the other in the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. Outcomes depend solely on the point differential at the end of the first quarter, ignoring the rest of the game's results.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point difference between Delaware and Vanderbilt at the end of the first quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team's lead exceeds the designated point threshold—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—for that particular market. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the eventual game outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information arises or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can be a useful exercise in assessing where the perceived value lies, though it's important to remember both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of each spread occurring. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first quarter spread of the Delaware vs Vanderbilt game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference in the first quarter will be compared to the contract spreads available on Kalshi to determine which contracts will pay out. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Delaware or Vanderbilt teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions might prompt traders to adjust their positions. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to shifts in the market price.