TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: ERC Ingolstadt vs. Augsburger Panther
Volume:
$397
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) ice hockey match between ERC Ingolstadt and Augsburger Panther scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (ERC Ingolstadt win and Augsburger Panther win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent winner-based resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies the missing No outcome or tie/cancellation logic. Polymarket's structure is logically sound: ERC Ingolstadt win resolves to ERC Ingolstadt, Augsburger Panther win resolves to Augsburger Panther, with explicit postponement and 50-50 cancellation rules.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure declares both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If ERC Ingolstadt wins...resolves to Yes. If Augsburger Panther wins...resolves to Yes.' No resolution path exists for No or other outcomes, creating logical incoherence.
- Polymarket: Winner-based resolution with explicit edge cases: 'If ERC Ingolstadt win, resolve to ERC Ingolstadt. If Augsburger Panther win, resolve to Augsburger Panther.' Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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