TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. EHC Red Bull Muenchen
Volume:
$337
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) ice hockey match between Eisbären Berlin and EHC Red Bull München scheduled for March 15, 2026. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Berlin win and Munich win) resolve to Yes, rendering the market non-informative and unresolvable. Polymarket uses a categorical resolution model (team name) with clear edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the contradiction is resolved. The market as written cannot function—every outcome resolves Yes, which violates basic prediction market logic. Polymarket's market is well-structured with explicit postponement and cancellation rules. Trade Polymarket only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both outcomes (Eisbären Berlin wins OR Red Bull Munich wins) resolve to Yes. This is a logical impossibility that makes the market unresolvable. The platform likely intended one outcome to resolve No, but the published rules do not reflect this.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team (Eisbaeren Berlin or EHC Red Bull Muenchen). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no make-up resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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