TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
DEL: Dresdner Eisloewen vs. Eisbaeren Berlin
Volume:
$210
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional ice hockey match between Dresdner Eisloewen and Eisbaeren Berlin in the German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are predicting the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Dresdner Eislowen win and Eisbären Berlin win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), leaving no valid path to a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the market specification is corrected. The market cannot settle properly because every possible outcome resolves to Yes. Polymarket's structure is logically sound: one team wins and resolves to their name, or the game is canceled and resolves 50-50. Trade Polymarket with confidence on the core logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary logic: Dresdner Eisloewen win -> resolve to 'Dresdner Eisloewen'; Eisbaeren Berlin win -> resolve to 'Eisbaeren Berlin'; postponement -> market stays open; cancellation with no makeup -> 50-50 split. Shootout winner gets +1 goal for scoring purposes.
- Kalshi: Logical error: states 'If Dresdner Eislowen wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Eisbären Berlin wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating no valid No resolution path and violating binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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