TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Allsvenskan game between Degerfors IF and Malmo FF, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Degerfors IF" if Degerfors IF score more goals than Malmo FF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Degerfors IF and Malmo FF score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Malmo FF" if Malmo FF score more goals than Degerfors IF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Allsvenskan game between Degerfors IF and Malmo FF, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Degerfors IF" if Degerfors IF score more goals than Malmo FF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Degerfors IF and Malmo FF score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Malmo FF" if Malmo FF score more goals than Degerfors IF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on outcomes they believe are mispriced. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who profit only if their forecast is correct, creating a mechanism that can sometimes outperform bookmaker consensus. Comparing the two reveals where professional traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the cumulative conviction of all participants; as more traders back one result, its share price rises and the implied probability increases. Liquidity providers deposit capital into the pool to enable trading, and their returns depend on the final spread between entry and exit prices. The continuous price discovery mechanism means this market adjusts rapidly to new information about team form, injuries, or match conditions.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the second half of the Degerfors vs. Malmo match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded for the second half only, not the full match. Resolution occurs after the event is confirmed through established sports data sources, ensuring accuracy and preventing disputes. Traders should monitor the fixture schedule and any postponements that might affect the resolution timeline.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift trader expectations before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence how traders reassess the probability of each outcome. During the first half, goals scored or conceded will reshape second-half forecasts, as traders update their models based on live momentum and fatigue patterns. Late-breaking roster updates or venue-specific factors may also trigger repricing as new information reaches the market.