TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Defensor and Danubio in Uruguay's top division. Bettors can speculate on whether Defensor, Danubio, or neither (a tie) will claim victory after the full regulation time of 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The resolution depends purely on the result within normal time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves three possible outcomes for the Defensor vs Danubio professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026: Defensor win, Danubio win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to one of these outcomes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions and probabilities at that time. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, based on your own assessment of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes of the Defensor vs Danubio match. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, offering insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Defensor vs Danubio match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed of any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived probabilities of different outcomes. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching changes could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, can also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.