TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Defensor Sporting vs. Deportivo Maldonado match originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Defensor Sporting vs. Deportivo Maldonado match originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
It’s common to see differences between prediction market probabilities and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, which isn’t present in prediction markets like Polymarket. This can lead to prediction market odds being more efficient, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbooks may have access to different information, such as team news or injury reports, that isn’t immediately priced into this market. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Defensor Sporting vs. Deportivo Maldonado match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the exact final score as recorded by official sources, and the shares will be settled accordingly. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or cover their losses once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Defensor Sporting or Deportivo Maldonado would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the referee or stadium could also have an impact. Monitoring these types of events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.