TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 155,625,425
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 155,625,425 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 11, 2026
Closed: Jul 11, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks whether the song DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during the July 3-9 tracking week. Streaming data is compiled from global platforms and published within approximately 48 hours after the tracking period ends.
Kalshi
If DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS has above 155,625,425 Worldwide Streams during the July 03 - July 09, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-time trader conviction rather than relying on expert opinion alone. In this market, the odds reflect collective expectations about whether streams will air this week, incorporating breaking news, social signals, and participant knowledge as they emerge. Analysts may publish forecasts based on historical patterns or scheduled announcements, while market prices adjust continuously as new information surfaces, sometimes leading to meaningful differences in probability estimates.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the current probability assigned by the market; higher prices indicate stronger conviction that streams will air this week. Traders profit by correctly predicting the outcome, and the spread between bid and ask prices represents the current uncertainty and liquidity available at any moment.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on verifiable public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether new streams from this creator air during the specified week. Once the event window closes, the outcome is determined and verified against credible sources, after which traders receive payouts according to their positions.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market. Official announcements from the creator about streaming plans would have immediate impact, as would social media updates or platform notifications confirming or denying new content. Changes in the creator's schedule, technical issues, or competing entertainment events could also influence trader sentiment. Breaking news about the creator's availability or audience engagement metrics may prompt repricing as participants reassess the likelihood of streams airing before the deadline.
