TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between D.C. United SC and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC score more goals than Toronto FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if D.C. United SC and Toronto FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC score more goals than D.C. United SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between D.C. United SC and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC score more goals than Toronto FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if D.C. United SC and Toronto FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC score more goals than D.C. United SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have direct financial exposure to outcomes. This market's odds represent what traders on Polymarket actually believe will happen, whereas sportsbooks may shade lines based on public betting patterns. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. As participants buy and sell shares representing different outcomes, the price adjusts dynamically to reflect the aggregate belief of the market. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the current price always represents the marginal cost of the next share. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free discovery of what the crowd expects for the second half result.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the D.C. United versus Toronto FC match concludes and the second half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the final score or result recorded during the second half of play. Traders holding positions will see their holdings settled based on which outcome occurred, with payouts distributed automatically once verification is complete and the market officially closes.
Several factors may shift odds in this market before it resolves. Team news—such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff—can significantly alter expectations. Early match momentum, particularly goals or red cards in the first half, often influences second half predictions. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form of both squads also drive trader sentiment. As the match progresses and the first half concludes, real-time developments will likely trigger sharp price movements as traders update their assessments of what the second half will deliver.