TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between D.C. United SC and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between D.C. United SC and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while this market is driven by traders risking real capital on their forecasts. Prediction markets typically incorporate breaking news and live sentiment faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. However, both venues converge toward similar probabilities as the event date approaches, since both ultimately reflect the underlying likelihood of the outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly against a liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome—whether D.C. United or Toronto FC scores first—is determined by the ratio of shares held in the pool and adjusts in real time as traders execute trades. Higher trading activity and larger position sizes move prices more dramatically, while lower volume can result in wider bid-ask spreads. This continuous pricing model ensures that odds always reflect the marginal trader's assessment of the match outcome.
Several factors can shift odds before kickoff and during the match. Team news—such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp price moves. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and venue factors can influence scoring likelihood. Early match events like an early goal, red card, or missed penalty can cause dramatic repricing. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may also move the market if they detect value relative to public perception. Monitoring team social media, official announcements, and live match commentary helps traders stay ahead of these signals.