TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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D.C. United SC vs. Atlanta United FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

What team will score first?

Volume:
$240,239

Pittsburgh over 10.5 points scored

 - Kalshi

Pittsburgh over 10.5 points scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 2:13 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 10.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,263
N/A
N/A
$12,263
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 14.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,229
N/A
N/A
$10,183
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 17.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,048
N/A
N/A
$8,805
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta over 10.5 points scored

100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,296
N/A
N/A
$7,240
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 3.5 points scored

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,016
N/A
N/A
$6,956
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta over 7.5 points scored

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,873
N/A
N/A
$5,873
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 7.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,544
N/A
N/A
$4,539
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta over 3.5 points scored

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$940
N/A
N/A
$807
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 23.5 points scored

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,958
N/A
N/A
$11,369
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 28.5 points scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,963
N/A
N/A
$17,408
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta over 17.5 points scored

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,614
N/A
N/A
$12,592
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 31.5 points scored

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,835
N/A
N/A
$12,177
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 21.5 points scored

0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,844
N/A
N/A
$7,732
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta over 21.5 points scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,326
N/A
N/A
$10,996
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 24.5 points scored

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,199
N/A
N/A
$6,279
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 20.5 points scored

0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,750
N/A
N/A
$7,952
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh over 35.5 points scored

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,696
N/A
N/A
$7,694
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta over 14.5 points scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,654
N/A
N/A
$7,106
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta over 24.5 points scored

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,239
N/A
N/A
$6,217
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta over 19.5 points scored

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,221
N/A
N/A
$3,511
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta over 28.5 points scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,960
N/A
N/A
$5,960
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta over 20.5 points scored

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,645
N/A
N/A
$5,581
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta over 42.5 points scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,587
N/A
N/A
$4,579
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta over 31.5 points scored

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,352
N/A
N/A
$4,352
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between D.C. United and Atlanta United. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. A 'Neither' outcome is possible if no goals are scored during that period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets on Polymarket and Kalshi concern entirely different sporting events, creating a fundamental scope divergence.Hero tip: Do not trade these markets as if they are related. They are completely independent and will resolve based on different outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Focuses on the first goalscorer in a D.C. United vs. Atlanta United soccer match, resolving to either D.C. United, Atlanta United, or Neither within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time."
  • Kalshi: Concerns point totals scored by teams in an Atlanta vs. Pittsburgh American Football game, with numerous over/under markets. Key Quote: "If Pittsburgh scores over 3.5 points in the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between D.C. United SC and Atlanta United FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atlanta United FC" if Atlanta United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold in the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point total threshold for each team. If the team scores strictly more than the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing league's official scoring and statistics will determine the outcome. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of either D.C. United SC or Atlanta United FC scoring first in their upcoming match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a roughly 48% chance of D.C. United SC scoring first, with a total volume of $240,239. This represents aggregated trading activity from both venues, allowing users to see a combined perspective on the likely outcome of the first goal in the D.C. United vs. Atlanta United match. The 24-hour volume for this market is $237,553.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information not fully accounted for by sportsbooks, such as insider knowledge or subtle shifts in public sentiment. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either D.C. United SC or Atlanta United FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the perceived likelihood of each team scoring first. Additionally, any pre-match analysis or expert opinions predicting a specific outcome could sway traders’ sentiment and drive price movements. Unexpected lineup announcements could also be a catalyst.