TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Carly Rae Jepsen's album "Day and Night" during its first week of release, focusing on pure album sales in the U.S. The outcome depends on whether the album exceeds various sales thresholds within that specific timeframe.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for pure album sales of Carly Rae Jepsen's "Day and Night" during the tracking week from September 18, 2026, to September 24, 2026, in the U.S. Each market corresponds to a different sales threshold—ranging from above 5,000 to above 20,000 units—and resolves to 'Yes' if the reported sales exceed the respective threshold. All outcomes are determined by data provided by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday following the tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC serves as a neutral metrics provider and does not influence or endorse the market outcomes. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of the album achieving various levels of commercial success in its initial week.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. Analysts may issue detailed projections based on pre-release data, marketing buzz, and historical trends, while this market incorporates rapid trader reactions to new information. The two can diverge if unexpected events occur, such as viral moments or critical reviews, which trader sentiment may capture faster than slower analyst updates.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current odds reflecting the aggregated expectations of all participants. The top outcome’s chance percentage shows what the market thinks is most likely, while the spread indicates how tightly priced the options are. Volume levels also reveal how actively the market is being traded at any given time.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on official sales data covering the first full week after the album’s release, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the final answer.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Strong or weak early sales reports, media coverage, social media buzz, influencer endorsements, and any last-minute promotional pushes can all impact trader sentiment. Additionally, unexpected events like chart controversies or distribution issues might cause rapid price swings as participants reassess their expectations in real time.