TOTAL VOLUME:
$148.1b
24H VOL:
$244,764,298
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,816,443,416
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,880,903,089
489,452
Markets across
36,321
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,844
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets allow participants to speculate on the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game between Davidson and San Diego. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold, enabling traders to assess the likelihood of various outcome ranges.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Davidson vs San Diego college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If San Diego wins by exceeding the specified point spread, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome settles; otherwise, it settles to 'No'. Conversely, if Davidson wins by more than the stated margin, the 'Yes' outcome for that market also settles. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point spread threshold.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what's captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Davidson vs San Diego matchup. However, both aim to predict the same outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring in the actual game. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome of the Davidson vs San Diego game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Davidson vs San Diego game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Davidson or San Diego teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift the market. Unexpected public endorsements or large bets from informed traders could also cause notable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.