TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 5:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on a competitive Rainbow Six Siege match between two professional esports teams scheduled for September 25, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures a victory in their head-to-head confrontation during the North America League Stage 2 2026. The result is determined by the official match result, with specific provisions for match disruptions.
The market resolves based on the result of the North America League Stage 2 2026 Rainbow Six Siege match between DarkZero Esports and Spacestation Gaming, scheduled for September 25, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT. If DarkZero Esports wins the match, the DarkZero Esports market resolves to Yes, and the Spacestation Gaming market resolves to No. Conversely, if Spacestation Gaming wins, their market resolves to Yes, and DarkZero Esports' market resolves to No. If the match is postponed and does not commence within 48 hours of the original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the result will be determined by the official outcome declared by the governing league or tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can reveal where the market disagrees with professional oddsmakers and potentially identify value bets. Keep in mind that these are distinct sources of probability estimates.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating the strength of buy and sell interest. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the DarkZero Esports versus Spacestation Gaming Rainbow Six Siege match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which team emerged victorious. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or roster changes for DarkZero Esports or Spacestation Gaming could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about map picks or tournament formats could also impact the market. Furthermore, major upsets in other Rainbow Six Siege matches or general shifts in community sentiment could influence traders’ perceptions of each team’s chances. Significant volume spikes or large trades could also signal changing expectations and cause price movements.