TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 5:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on a competitive Rainbow Six Siege match between two professional esports teams, DarkZero Esports and Shopify Rebellion. The outcome depends on which team secures a victory in their scheduled encounter during the North America League Stage 2 2026. The event reflects the high-stakes nature of professional gaming competitions where team performance determines results.
The market resolves based on the result of the North America League Stage 2 2026 Rainbow Six Siege match between DarkZero Esports and Shopify Rebellion, scheduled for September 18, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT. If DarkZero Esports wins the match, the DarkZero Esports market resolves to Yes, and the Shopify Rebellion market resolves to No. Conversely, if Shopify Rebellion wins, the Shopify Rebellion market resolves to Yes, and the DarkZero Esports market resolves to No. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the original time, both markets resolve to their fair market price. If the match is cancelled before any play occurs, or if either team forfeits prior to the match beginning, both markets also resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the result will be determined by the official outcome published by the governing league or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade on Kalshi to capitalize on that perceived mispricing. This dynamic can lead to odds on Kalshi that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the DarkZero vs Shopify Rebellion match. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the DarkZero Esports versus Shopify Rebellion match as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will identify the winning team based on publicly available results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either DarkZero Esports or Shopify Rebellion could significantly shift the odds. Major announcements about the tournament format or venue could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, in-game performance during the match itself, such as early map wins or individual player highlights, will likely cause rapid fluctuations in the market as traders react to the unfolding events. Public opinion and analyst predictions could also contribute to movement.