TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which tennis player, Daria Snigur or Diana Shnaider, will win the second set of their match at the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128. The outcome depends solely on the result of that specific set, regardless of the overall match result. Betting activity reflects expectations about player performance, form, and strategies during that particular segment of play.
The market resolves based on which player wins the second set of the Daria Snigur vs Diana Shnaider professional tennis match at the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128. If the match fails to commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any ball is played, the market settles at a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If either player retires during the match, markets can resolve based on completed play; unresolved markets settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to differences in liquidity and participant behavior. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert analysis and risk management models, this market prices the probability through collective trader bets. The resulting odds may appear more volatile or different from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or trading volume changes. Traders should consider both sources but recognize that this market offers a unique view shaped by its own participant dynamics.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through their buying and selling activity. The current odds reflect the aggregated expectations of all participants, adjusting continuously with each trade. With a volume of $49,804 and 24-hour volume of $49,804, the market shows how traders collectively assess the likelihood of each outcome. As the event approaches, any shifts in trader sentiment or new information can cause rapid changes in these odds, making real-time monitoring essential for anyone following this market.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of Set 2 will be determined by official match results, and the market will close accordingly, reflecting the actual performance on court at that time.
Key signals include player form leading up to the match, any last-minute injuries or changes in seeding, and early set dynamics during the live match. Shifts in betting volume on Kalshi may also indicate changing sentiment, especially as the start time approaches and new information emerges from practice sessions or pre-match analyses.