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Daniel Merida vs Marton Fucsovics: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Daniel Merida vs Marton Fucsovics: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$21,596

Daniel Merida

 - Kalshi

Daniel Merida - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 12:00 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Daniel Merida

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$13,113
N/A
N/A
$9,037
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marton Fucsovics

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$8,482
N/A
N/A
$8,316
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market focuses on predicting which player will win the first set of a tennis match between Daniel Merida and Marton Fucsovics at the 2026 US Open. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the players during the initial set of their competition. Any changes to the match schedule or unforeseen interruptions will be managed according to specific guidelines to ensure fair resolution.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which player wins the first set of the Daniel Merida vs Marton Fucsovics match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. If the match does not occur before any play due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, it resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires during the match, markets can resolve based on completed play; otherwise, unresolved markets settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Set 1 winner market, alongside real-time volume of $21,596 and 24-hour volume of $21,596. It shows how traders on this single venue are pricing the chances of each player claiming the opening set, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment leading up to the match.

Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven directly by trader sentiment rather than set by bookmakers. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader analytics and house edges, this market’s pricing can shift more rapidly with new information, sometimes showing wider or narrower spreads depending on trader confidence.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first set will be the determining factor, and the market will close immediately after the set’s official conclusion, reflecting the actual performance on court.

Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, recent form or performance in practice sessions, weather conditions on match day, and any last-minute changes to the lineup. Significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi can also cause rapid price swings as traders react to new information or adjust their positions ahead of Aug 30, 2026.