TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 12:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev, scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Andrey Rublev match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev, scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Andrey Rublev match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks may adjust lines based on broader public betting patterns and proprietary models, prediction markets price outcomes based purely on trader activity and perceived probabilities, which can lead to tighter spreads or divergent views on likely scorelines.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through continuous trading where users buy and sell shares of possible score outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate belief of Polymarket traders about which exact score is most probable, with odds adjusting dynamically based on trading volume and recent shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact final score reported by authoritative sports news sources will determine which market position is settled as the winning outcome.