TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Salahdine Parnasse will win his upcoming UFC Fight Night bout against Daniel Hooker by KO/TKO/DQ. Currently, Kalshi gives this outcome a 53.0% probability, while Salahdine Parnasse winning by Submission is priced at 19.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Daniel Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse UFC Fight Night fight, as determined by the official fight result. Keep a close watch on the fight itself on September 5, 2026, as that is when the betting period will end and the market will be settled based on the official result.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Daniel Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse UFC Fight Night fight scheduled for September 5, 2026. If either fighter wins via KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision, or if the bout ends in a draw or no contest, the respective outcome market will resolve to Yes. Each market is specific to the victory method of the named fighter or the draw/no contest scenario. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in niche events like this one, as sportsbooks may dedicate fewer resources to setting precise lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible method of victory. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind each prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The method of victory declared by the official result will determine the winning contract. Any official result or ruling from the relevant governing body will be considered final. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded outcome of the Hooker vs Parnasse fight, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely cause significant movement. Pre-fight press conferences and weigh-in results could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and any public statements from the fighters themselves could impact trading activity. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention to this market and influence trading decisions.