TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 21,708,036
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 21,708,036 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jul 4, 2:32 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks worldwide streaming performance for the album Dangerously In Love during the June 26 - July 02 tracking week. Resolution depends on whether total streams exceed a specified threshold, with data published within approximately 48 hours after the week ends.
Kalshi
If Dangerously In Love has above 21,708,036 Worldwide Streams during the June 26 - July 02, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect live trader positioning and aggregate expectations, often diverging from traditional analyst commentary or entertainment industry forecasts. While analysts may rely on studio statements or release schedules, this market prices in real-time information and collective conviction from participants actively wagering on the outcome. Comparing the implied probability here to public statements from record labels or entertainment news outlets can reveal where market participants see risk or opportunity that mainstream analysis may have missed.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's aggregate belief about whether the album will stream this week, with the bid-ask spread showing the current consensus range. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing market rate.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed based on verifiable public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the album becomes available on major streaming platforms during the specified window. Once the event is confirmed through credible sources, the market settles and positions are paid out according to the final outcome.
Official announcements from the artist, record label, or streaming platforms would be the most direct catalyst for this market. Any credible reporting about release delays, surprise drops, or confirmed streaming dates could trigger sharp repricing. Social media hints, industry insider commentary, or updates to official release schedules may also shift trader positioning. Additionally, broader entertainment news or competing releases could influence how participants weigh the likelihood of this album streaming this week.
