TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 3:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the exact set score outcome of the professional tennis match between Dane Sweeny and Grigor Dimitrov at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128 on June 29. Bettors predict the precise final set count.
The market resolves based on the final set score of the Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov match at 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at fair market price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and adjust faster to breaking news, whereas sportsbooks may lag slightly. For a tennis exact-score outcome, comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors disagree on the likelihood of each scoreline.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares corresponding to each exact score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the balance of buy and sell pressure; as more traders expect a particular scoreline, its price rises, and vice versa. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, and the platform matches buyers and sellers in real time. This continuous pricing model ensures that the odds always reflect the latest consensus among active traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the Sweeney vs Dimitrov match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline of the completed match. Traders holding shares in the correct score receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, pending confirmation of the official result.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Recent form and head-to-head records between the two players influence trader expectations of the likely scoreline distribution. Injury announcements, court surface conditions, and tournament stage can all reshape perceived probabilities. Pre-match commentary from analysts and betting syndicates often triggers repricing. As the match date approaches, withdrawal rumors or lineup changes may cause sharp moves. During the match itself, live score updates and momentum swings will drive continuous repricing as traders update their forecasts in real time.