TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Contestant 6
- Polymarket
Contestant 6 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Apr 1, 2027
Will Contestant 6 win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?
$
Intro
This market tracks which contestant will win Season 35 of Dancing with the Stars. Currently, the aggregated probability of Contestant 6 winning is 60.0%. This forecast combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official broadcast of the final episode of Dancing with the Stars: Season 35, as detailed in the resolution source. In the event of a tie, Polymarket will resolve to the contestant whose name comes first alphabetically. Keep an eye on the results of the final performance show, scheduled to conclude by the resolution date of April 1, 2027, to see which contestant takes home the trophy.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: The platforms differ in their scope (individual contestants vs. a broader winner) and the precise definition of resolution (official broadcast vs. official declaration).Hero tip: Focus on the contestants most likely to be officially declared winners, as Kalshi markets resolve on that specific event. Be aware of Polymarket's alphabetical tiebreaker.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to the winning contestant, with an alphabetical tiebreaker if multiple winners are announced. Resolution source is the official broadcast of the final episode. "If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order."
- Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' only if a specific contestant is officially declared the winner. Resolution source is an official declaration. "If Julia Stiles is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes."
Polymarket
Dancing with the Stars is a reality dance competition in which celebrities are paired with professional dancers to perform dance routines. This market will resolve to the celebrity participant of the winning team of Dancing with the Stars: Season 35. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Dancing with the Stars: Season 35 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Dancing with the Stars: Season 35 has otherwise not concluded by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Dancing with the Stars: Season 35.
Kalshi
If Julia Stiles is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jenna Dewan is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tatyana Ali is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Hanson is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ezra Frech is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amber Glenn is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Wood is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sarah Jane Nader is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Cameron is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Giada DeLaurentiis is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Shum Jr. is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Conner Leavitt is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Guillermo Rodriguez is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maura Higgins is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ciara Miller is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson Olson is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often provide a more accurate forecast than traditional analyst predictions. This is because markets harness the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. While analysts may have biases or limited data, the price action in this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of many participants actively trading on the outcome. This can lead to a more efficient and accurate assessment of the probabilities, especially as new information emerges throughout the season. It’s a real-time, incentive-aligned forecasting tool.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Contestant 6 win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? at 60.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Ezra Frech win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? at 57.0%. Differences in trading limits or the types of traders participating on each platform can also contribute to these discrepancies. Furthermore, differing interpretations of available information about the contestants can lead to varied pricing.
This market resolves around Apr 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, as officially announced by the show’s producers, will determine the final result. The market’s outcome will reflect the contestant who receives the highest combined score from judges and audience votes, as declared on the show. Trading will cease once a clear winner is announced and the result is publicly available.
Several events could significantly impact this market. Contestant performances during the weekly shows are primary drivers, with high scores and positive audience reception likely to increase a contestant’s implied probability. Unexpected injuries or withdrawals of contestants would also cause substantial shifts in the odds. Media coverage and social media sentiment can also play a role, influencing public perception and trading activity. Any major news or developments related to the contestants’ personal lives or training could further move this market before Apr 1, 2027.