TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Tyler Cameron
- Kalshi
Tyler Cameron - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 21, 2026
Time left: 06d:09h:19m
Will Tyler Cameron and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Oct 21, 2026?
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Description
These markets track whether specific celebrity contestants are eliminated from a television dance competition before a set date. Elimination occurs when contestants are officially removed from the show through audience voting, disqualification, or other predefined reasons announced through authorized channels.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified contestant and their partner are officially eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before October 21, 2026. Elimination is confirmed through official program broadcasts, the show's website, verified social media accounts, or press releases. Valid elimination reasons include being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal. Multiple simultaneous eliminations are counted, and an initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns. However, eliminations immediately reversed in the same episode, temporary suspensions, medical holds, or finishing as runner-up in the finale do not count. If the season is canceled without declaring any eliminations, all markets resolve to 'No.' The markets are independent of each other, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than that of traditional entertainment analysts. While analysts may focus on dance skill or celebrity popularity, this market incorporates a wider range of factors, including social media sentiment and betting patterns. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as this market represents the collective wisdom of traders actively putting their money on the line. Often, the market can identify under or overvalued contestants relative to pre-show expectations and expert opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each contestant being eliminated. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability of that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of the event occurring; a contract trading at 25 means there's a 25% chance of that contestant being eliminated, according to the traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official elimination result from Episode 7 of Dancing with the Stars is verifiable from credible public reporting. The contestant who is officially eliminated by the judges and audience vote will determine the winning contract in this market. The resolution will be based on the official results announced during the broadcast and reported by reliable news sources covering the show. The market will then settle based on that confirmed outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Unexpected injuries to contestants, controversial judging decisions, or shifts in public opinion driven by social media could all cause price movements. Strong performances during the live show, or even rumors of behind-the-scenes drama, can also influence trader behavior. Any news related to a contestant’s personal life or their ability to continue competing could lead to substantial changes in the odds for this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts.
