TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 8:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Mario Piazzon" if Mario Piazzon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Uriel at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3, scheduled for August 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Uriel" if Guilherme Uriel is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Mario Piazzon" if Mario Piazzon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Uriel at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3, scheduled for August 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Uriel" if Guilherme Uriel is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting volumes. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders watch for shifts in public sentiment, fighter news, and training updates that influence odds here, sometimes leading to discrepancies with sportsbook listings.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official fight outcome — such as a win by knockout, submission, judges’ scorecards, or other recognized methods — and will match what is reported by authoritative sports news outlets and the event’s official record.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include injury updates, training performance leaks, changes in fighter rankings, and any pre-fight media events or controversies. Media appearances, social media buzz, and betting trends on Polymarket also influence trader sentiment. As the fight date nears, any last-minute adjustments — such as weight-miss announcements or coaching changes — may cause rapid price swings.