TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 9:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Jaden Ortega" if Jaden Ortega is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alvi Dasuyev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Alvi Dasuyev" if Alvi Dasuyev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Jaden Ortega" if Jaden Ortega is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alvi Dasuyev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Alvi Dasuyev" if Alvi Dasuyev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to reflect the true probabilities as assessed by traders. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market allows the wisdom of the crowd to influence pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk appetites between sportsbook customers and prediction market participants. It's common to see prediction market odds converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dana White's Contender Series fight between Jaden Ortega and Alvi Dasuyev. Specifically, the market will determine whether the fight goes over or under 1.5 rounds, based on the official fight record. The final result will be sourced from reliable sports news outlets and fight databases to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before its resolution. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes to the fight card, or updates on fighter training could significantly impact the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in fight predictions from analysts and fans, can also play a role. Unexpected developments during the weigh-in or pre-fight press conferences could also shift market prices. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters' relative strengths or the likely duration of the fight has the potential to move this market.