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Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Santos vs Abdullaev?

Volume:
$1,419,289

Akbar Abdullaev

 - Kalshi

Akbar Abdullaev - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 8:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Akbar Abdullaev

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$362,745
N/A
N/A
$306,479
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Abdullaev in Round 1

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
5.9¢
N/A
$276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Abdullaev to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
5.9¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ednilson Santos

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$951,153
N/A
N/A
$806,946
Settled
No
polymarket

Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Santos to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Abdullaev in Round 2

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos in Round 2

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Abdullaev in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Ednilson Santos winning his lightweight MMA fight against Akbar Abdullaev on Dana White's Contender Series in Round 1. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 100.0%. Resolution will be based on the official UFC declaration of the winner, as reported at https://www.ufc.com/events. Keep an eye on the fight itself, scheduled for a resolution date of September 16, 2026, to see if Santos can secure a first-round victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's winner market does not explicitly address draw scenarios, while Polymarket does.Hero tip: Favor Polymarket's winner market for complete coverage, as it accounts for draws. Be aware of potential discrepancies in other markets related to draws or no contests.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Ednilson Santos' or 'Akbar Abdullaev' if officially declared the winner. Resolves to '50-50' if the fight is a draw, No Contest, or postponed beyond September 29, 2026. Source: Official UFC information.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Ednilson Santos wins, or 'Yes' if Akbar Abdullaev wins. Does not explicitly state how a draw would be resolved.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Ednilson Santos" if Ednilson Santos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Akbar Abdullaev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 6, scheduled for September 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Akbar Abdullaev" if Akbar Abdullaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Ednilson Santos wins the Santos vs Abdullaev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Akbar Abdullaev wins the Santos vs Abdullaev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Santos vs. Abdullaev fight. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms suggests a high likelihood of the fight reaching a decision or draw, with approximately 97 percent of the volume traded reflecting this expectation. Total volume for this market is $1,419,289, and the 24-hour volume is $855,074. This allows users to gauge the collective wisdom of the crowd and compare it to traditional betting markets. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of predictions.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This market, for example, may show a different probability for a Santos win than a typical sportsbook. Prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate, particularly when incorporating information not readily available to bookmakers. However, lower volume in prediction markets can also lead to greater price volatility compared to more liquid sportsbook markets.