TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Damian Piwowarczyk" if Damian Piwowarczyk is officially declared the winner of the fight against Emilio Quissua at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Emilio Quissua" if Emilio Quissua is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Damian Piwowarczyk" if Damian Piwowarczyk is officially declared the winner of the fight against Emilio Quissua at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Emilio Quissua" if Emilio Quissua is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders deposit collateral and buy or sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price of a 'yes' share (e.g., Piwowarczyk wins) will increase if more people believe that outcome is likely, and decrease if belief wanes. The market’s efficiency relies on active participation and informed trading, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the fight’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Piwowarczyk vs. Quissua fight as declared by the relevant athletic commission or fight promoter. The market will determine which outcome—Piwowarczyk wins, Quissua wins, or another outcome—is the accurate result of the bout. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to claim their winnings based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the fight. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in weight class, or significant shifts in training regimens could cause the odds to move. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches, analysis from MMA experts, and even betting trends from sportsbooks can all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as a late replacement opponent, would also likely cause significant shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.