TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 8:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Callum Connor" if Callum Connor is officially declared the winner of the fight against Piero Guaylupo at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Piero Guaylupo" if Piero Guaylupo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Callum Connor" if Callum Connor is officially declared the winner of the fight against Piero Guaylupo at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Piero Guaylupo" if Piero Guaylupo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their beliefs. Any difference between the two represents the market’s collective assessment versus the sportsbook’s. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time, particularly when information asymmetry exists.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result announced by the Dana White's Contender Series organization will determine the winner. The market will settle based on which fighter is declared the victor according to the official scorecard or stoppage. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be evaluated based on available evidence and established procedures.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the fight concludes. Any news regarding injuries to either Callum Connor or Piero Guaylupo would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Updates on their training camps, weight cuts, or pre-fight press conferences could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any changes in public sentiment, expert analysis, or betting trends in traditional sportsbooks could prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market. The closer we get to Sep 23, 2026, the more sensitive the market will be to new information.