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Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
polymarket

Who will win Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly?

Volume:
$57,576

Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly

 - Polymarket

Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 8:33 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55,891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lorenz to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aly to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Lorenz vs. Aly fight market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for this specific betting line. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the chances of each fighter winning as the event approaches, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity for the Lorenz vs. Aly fight market.

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of fighter prospects because they are driven by continuous trader activity rather than set lines. While sportsbooks may publish fixed odds based on their own assessments, this market allows for rapid adjustments based on new information, injuries, or training updates, which can create divergence from traditional sportsbook lines.

This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official fight result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by the judges' scorecards, knockout, submission, or any official declaration by the event organizers, and this information is used to finalize the market result.

Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, changes in fighter weight or conditioning, pre-fight media events, and betting trends from large traders. Any announcement affecting the fighters' readiness or perceived advantage can cause rapid shifts in odds, as can significant developments in similar matchups that influence trader sentiment leading up to Aug 19, 2026.