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Dana White's Contender Series: Adam Livingston vs. Hunter Smith (Lightweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

Dana White's Contender Series: Adam Livingston vs. Hunter Smith (Lightweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$937,980

Adam Livingston

 - Kalshi

Adam Livingston - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 7:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Adam Livingston

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$369,555
N/A
N/A
$265,881
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Adam Livingston vs. Hunter Smith

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,761
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hunter Smith

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$555,117
N/A
N/A
$322,698
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Livingston to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
92%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Smith to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the upcoming Dana White's Contender Series fight between Adam Livingston and Hunter Smith on September 1, 2026, will go over or under 0.5 rounds. Currently, the aggregated probability across Kalshi and Polymarket indicates a 99.0% chance of “O/U 0.5 Rounds.” Resolution will be based on the official UFC declaration of the fight result. Keep an eye on the fight itself, scheduled for September 1, 2026, as the outcome will determine market settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same official UFC result with consistent handling of draws, No Contests, cancellations, and postponementsPrimary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the officially declared winner
  • Draws, No Contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond September 15, 2026 resolve to 50-50
  • Method of victory markets (KO/TKO, submission) resolve based on the official declaration of the victory method
  • Over/under round markets resolve based on whether the fight lasts beyond specific time thresholds within rounds

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If the fight ends exactly at the threshold time for over/under rounds, it resolves to 50-50
  • Disqualification: If the fight ends in disqualification, it resolves to No for method of victory markets and 50-50 for winner markets
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC declaration of the fight result, no later than September 15, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Adam Livingston" if Adam Livingston is officially declared the winner of the fight against Hunter Smith at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Hunter Smith" if Hunter Smith is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Hunter Smith wins the Smith vs Livingston professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Livingston wins the Smith vs Livingston professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Livingston vs. Smith fight market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It displays current probabilities, volume of $937,980, and 24-hour volume of $694,134 across venues. This gives you a consensus view of market sentiment toward the fight, highlighting where interest is concentrated. Because this market spans Polymarket and Kalshi, the dashboard is useful for spotting shifts in trader confidence as the event approaches.