TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 7:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the final set score of the professional tennis match between Damir Dzumhur and Vit Kopriva at the 2026 ATP Mallorca tournament. Bettors can wager on whether Dzumhur wins 2-0, Dzumhur wins 2-1, Kopriva wins 2-1, or Kopriva wins 2-0.
The market resolves based on the exact final set score of the Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Kopriva match at the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 32. Possible outcomes are Dzumhur 2-0, Dzumhur 2-1, Kopriva 2-1, or Kopriva 2-0. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at Fair Market Price as determined by the Exchange.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus—real money is at stake on the outcome itself. Sportsbooks may adjust lines based on liability, whereas this market adjusts based purely on what participants believe will happen. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than traditional oddsmakers, especially when traders have strong information or expertise in tennis match outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact set score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell pressure at any given moment. Each outcome—such as a 2–1 victory for one player—has its own contract, and the price of that contract represents the market's implied probability. As new information arrives or trader conviction shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the Dzumhur vs Kopriva match concludes and the final set score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the actual result of the match, verified against credible public sources covering professional tennis. Traders who correctly predicted the exact set score will receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is straightforward and objective—only the precise final set count matters, not the total games played or any other metric.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface preference (clay, hard court, grass) influence trader conviction. Weather forecasts and court conditions closer to match day may also move the market. Media coverage highlighting one player's form or psychological edge can sway sentiment. Additionally, betting patterns from professional syndicates or sharp money often signal new information, prompting other traders to adjust their positions accordingly.