TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the likelihood that the Kandy Falcons will win the men's professional Lanka Premier League cricket match against the Dambulla Sixers. On Kalshi, the probability that Kandy Falcons wins is currently 81%, while Dambulla Sixers wins sits at 20%. The market resolution is based on the official match result. The key event to watch is the match itself, scheduled for July 21, 2026, which will determine the outcome.
Resolution is determined by the official result declared by the governing body. If either team wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before the match begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and an official winner is declared, resolution follows that result. If play commences but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or disagreement.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that result, ranging from near-zero to near-certain. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the price to move continuously. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be determined by the actual result of the match as documented by reliable sports sources. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments or analysis influence their views. Resolution is final once the event concludes and the result is officially recorded.
Several factors could shift trader positioning before the match concludes. Team news—such as player injuries, roster changes, or lineup announcements—often triggers sharp price moves. Recent form, head-to-head records, and venue conditions can also influence confidence in either side. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting patterns from other venues may sway sentiment. As the match date approaches, any official updates or unexpected developments will likely drive renewed trading activity and repricing across this market.