TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Pro League soccer match between Damac Saudi Club and Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club scheduled for April 9, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals scored (Kalshi), match result/draw (Polymarket), and individual team wins (Polymarket).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (draw Yes / wins No if canceled), while Kalshi omits explicit cancellation guidance. Additionally, Polymarket win markets contain a potential logical contradiction regarding postponement vs. cancellation outcomes.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Saudi Pro League announcements for postponement or cancellation. If canceled with no makeup: Polymarket draw resolves Yes, Polymarket win markets resolve No, and Kalshi goals markets face ambiguity. If postponed, Polymarket markets remain open; Kalshi markets have no stated reopening clause. Cross-platform traders should hedge cancellation risk by understanding these asymmetric payoffs.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Four markets on total goals thresholds (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5 combined). Resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Resolution source: implicit (match statistics).Polymarket:
Three markets: draw outcome, Damac win, Al Qadisiyah win. Asymmetric cancellation logic: draw market resolves Yes if canceled; win markets resolve No if canceled. Postponement keeps markets open. Resolution source: official governing body statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'No' (wins).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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