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406,065

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Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury?

Volume:
$5,492,582

Phoenix

 - Kalshi

Phoenix - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 12:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Phoenix

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,450,490
N/A
N/A
$964,636
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 172.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,823
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 171.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$663
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 7.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 13.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 18.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dallas

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,406,852
N/A
N/A
$1,218,350
Settled
No
polymarket

Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$469,511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 173.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 174.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 16.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 9.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.5

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Arike Ogunbowale exceeding 2.5 rebounds in the Dallas Wings versus Phoenix Mercury game. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 100.0% chance of this outcome. Resolution will be based on official statistics reported at https://www.wnba.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 21st, as player performance during that contest will determine the final result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's win condition resolves 'Yes' for either team winning, while Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket's markets for standard win/loss resolution. Be cautious of Kalshi's unusual structure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team's name (Dallas Wings or Phoenix Mercury). "If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Phoenix wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 21 at 10:00PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the women's professional basketball game between the two teams scheduled for September 21, 2026. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the WNBA matchup market across multiple prediction platforms, providing a consensus view of expectations for the outcome of the Dallas Wings versus Phoenix Mercury game. Currently, the combined volume across Polymarket and Kalshi exceeds $5,492,582, with $5,458,864 traded in the last 24 hours. We aggregate data from these venues to offer a comprehensive look at where the crowd believes the most likely result lies. This allows users to see how opinions are shifting and compare pricing across different exchanges.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect a broader range of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance their liabilities and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their genuine beliefs. This can lead to differences in pricing, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate news, injuries, or other factors affecting the game. However, both types of odds ultimately aim to predict the same outcome, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Dallas Wings or the Phoenix Mercury would likely cause price movement. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant performance shifts in recent games could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader news related to team morale or external factors affecting player availability could all contribute to changes in the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these factors is key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.