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400,720

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30,097

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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61%

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Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Dallas Wings vs Minnesota Lynx?

Volume:
$3,659,822

Minnesota

 - Kalshi

Minnesota - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 5:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,753,241
N/A
N/A
$807,281
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$68,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49,600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 179.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$36,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 178.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,662
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olivia Miles: Points O/U 19.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
6.9¢
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4.9¢
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kayla McBride: Points O/U 14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kayla McBride: Points O/U 15.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dallas

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,407,418
N/A
N/A
$801,142
Settled
No
polymarket

Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 12.5

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 19.5

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 13.5

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 10.5

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks whether Arike Ogunbowale will record more than 3.5 assists in the upcoming WNBA game between the Dallas Wings and Minnesota Lynx. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, that she will exceed 3.5 assists, is currently 100.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolutions sourced from wnba.com. Watch for the game on August 9, as this will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market type mismatch: Polymarket uses team-name outcomes while Kalshi uses a binary Yes market that triggers for either winnerHero tip: Do not treat these as equivalent markets. Polymarket offers three possible outcomes while Kalshi only has two states. Any apparent arbitrage opportunity will fail because the markets represent different financial instruments

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market resolving to Dallas Wings, Minnesota Lynx, or 50-50 for canceled games. Quote: If game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes market that resolves Yes if either team wins. Quote: If Minnesota wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins...then the market resolves to Yes
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 9 at 3:30PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the women’s professional basketball game between Dallas and Minnesota originally scheduled for August 9, 2026. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it is played within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The outcome is determined exclusively by the result of the game as played, with no affiliation or endorsement implied by the platform toward the governing league or its intellectual property.