TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Dallas will defeat Seattle by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming Pro Football game. On Kalshi, the current probability that Dallas wins by over 1.5 points stands at 84.0%, with resolution based on the game result. The outcome will be determined by the contest's final score, with a specific focus on whether Seattle wins by more than 20.5 points, and the market will resolve on August 16, 2026, following the game.
These markets assess whether Seattle wins by more than specified margins (from 1.5 to 20.5 points) or whether Dallas wins by more than specified margins (from 1.5 to 14.5 points) in the August 15, 2026 Pro Football game. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team meets or exceeds its respective point differential threshold, with secondary rules uniformly clarifying Kalshi's lack of official league affiliation and trademark ownership disclaimers.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a blend of sharp betting insights and broader public sentiment, whereas traditional sportsbooks weight heavily toward professional sharp money. The two can diverge based on retail interest or recent performance shifts, so tracking both offers a richer view of expected point differentials.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective view of the likely point spread in the Dallas-Seattle matchup. The current implied probability indicates expectations for which team might cover or the game’s closeness. Market depth and order book activity drive price discovery, with fluctuations driven by news, team performance, and betting volume.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, once the final score is confirmed from official game reports. The outcome is verified against credible public sources such as league records and news outlets. After the game concludes, the spread result is locked in based on the verified point differential, and all contracts settle according to that definitive number.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, and evolving weather conditions could shift this market as they affect expected performance margins. High-profile performances, trading volume spikes, and media narratives around team momentum also influence trader sentiment. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of a narrow win or upset can cause rapid price adjustments leading up to Aug 16, 2026.