TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate the total number of goals scored in a professional MLS soccer match between Dallas and Portland. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the combined score exceeds that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The markets resolve based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Dallas vs Portland professional MLS soccer game scheduled for September 12, 2026, exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The evaluation occurs after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, but does not include goals from extra time or penalty kicks. If the combined goals meet or surpass the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, each with its own threshold, and all are subject to the same timing and scoring conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. However, as the event approaches, the probabilities offered by this market and those from sportsbooks tend to converge, especially if there is significant public interest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential goal total.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Dallas vs Portland match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league or governing body responsible for the match. The market will then pay out to contract holders based on whether their predicted total goals align with the actual result, providing a clear and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dallas or Portland would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's pace or scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any unexpected lineup announcements could shift trader sentiment and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.