TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the combined point total in the Dallas vs New York women's professional basketball game will exceed 165.5 points. On Kalshi, the probability that both teams score more than 165.5 points combined stands at 74.0%, according to the resolution source tracking the game originally scheduled for July 7, 2026. Watch for the final combined score when the game concludes on July 7, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.
Each market resolves to Yes if the combined points scored by Dallas and New York exceeds the specified threshold (162.5, 165.5, 168.5, 171.5, 174.5, 177.5, 180.5, 183.5, or 186.5 points respectively). Resolution is based on the official final score of the game as recorded by the league.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate belief of traders wagering real money on outcomes. This market aggregates the views of many independent forecasters without the profit-margin markup typical of traditional sports betting, potentially offering a purer signal of true probability—though both sources can be valuable for understanding expected totals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing different total-point outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to commit capital, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and deeper liquidity. As new information emerges—injury reports, weather, team form—traders adjust their positions, and the price moves to equilibrate supply and demand in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the Dallas and New York game concludes and the final combined score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official total points scored by both teams in regulation play. Resolution is automatic once the result is confirmed, and all winning shares are paid out according to the final tally.
Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, weather forecasts that might affect passing or kicking accuracy, recent offensive and defensive performance trends, and any late-breaking team news. Line-movement from sportsbooks and sharp money flowing into this market can also shift sentiment quickly. As game day approaches, final roster confirmations and pregame commentary from analysts may trigger additional repricing, especially if new information contradicts earlier expectations about pace or scoring potential.