TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the point differential of an upcoming football game between Dallas and New York. It covers various possible margins of victory for either team, ranging from narrow wins to decisive blowouts. The outcome depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on the point differential from the full Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, including any overtime periods. If New York G wins by exactly 0, 1 to 6, 7 to 14, or 15+ points, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome for New York G victories resolves. Conversely, if Dallas wins by 1 to 6, 7 to 14, or 15+ points, the respective 'Yes' outcome for Dallas victories resolves. All outcomes are determined solely by the final point differential, with no ties possible outside of the exact 0-point differential scenario specified for New York G. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks frequently set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely winning margin. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, as both represent probabilities assigned to the same event, but through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that margin occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market operates on the principle of supply and demand; higher demand for a particular outcome drives up its price, while increased supply lowers it. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a transparent and efficient market for predicting the outcome of the Dallas vs New York game.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the Dallas vs New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the game. The platform will then determine which contracts correspond to the actual winning margin and settle payouts accordingly. Traders holding winning contracts will receive their payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while losing contracts will expire worthless.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Dallas or New York team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team strategy, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance expectations could lead to shifts in the perceived probabilities of different winning margins. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, though the market’s price is ultimately determined by trading activity on Kalshi.