TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two NFL teams in a specific game, focusing on how many touchdowns each team scores. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will reach certain touchdown thresholds, adding an additional layer of engagement beyond the game's final score.
The event centers on the Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, with markets resolving based on the number of touchdowns each team scores. Each market has a specific threshold (2+, 3+, or 4+) for either Dallas or New York G. If the named team reaches or exceeds its threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others, though they are all contingent on the same game’s completion within the specified timeframe.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If prediction market participants believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can trade against it, causing the price on Kalshi to diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of touchdowns scored by each team during the Dallas versus New York game. The final score will be sourced from official league data and used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dallas or New York teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public sentiment reflected in polls or expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market on Kalshi.