TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming professional football game between Dallas and New York. The outcome depends on the scoring progression during the match, with specific attention to the exact point at which either team hits the 21-point mark first. If neither team achieves this milestone, the result reflects that scenario.
The event determines whether Dallas, New York, or neither team is the first to score 21 points in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market resolves based on the first team to reach 21 points during the full game, including any overtime periods. If neither team reaches 21 points, the 'Neither Team' market resolves as the winner. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, the market resolves to a fair price. All outcomes are determined by the official game result, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – the odds on Kalshi may move in ways that diverge from, or converge with, sportsbook offerings. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes as event time approaches, especially when there is significant public interest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome – in this case, either Dallas or New York G reaching 21 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving probabilities. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available information.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team officially reaches 21 points first during the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the winner of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes and the outcome is officially declared. The market will close prior to the end of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Dallas or New York G would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Furthermore, general game-day momentum and early scoring plays during the actual game will have an immediate impact on the probabilities reflected on Kalshi. Public sentiment and any major shifts in betting patterns could also contribute to changes in the market’s pricing.