TOTAL VOLUME:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:37 PM EST
Kalshi
Several players including Cam Skattebo, Malachi Fields, Isaiah Likely, George Pickens, and CeeDee Lamb will compete for the longest reception in the Dallas vs New York Giants game. Their performance will be closely watched to see if they surpass their respective yardage thresholds.
These markets resolve if Cam Skattebo records a longest reception over 9.5 yards, Malachi Fields over 14.5 yards, Isaiah Likely over 17.5 yards, George Pickens over 25.5 yards, or CeeDee Lamb over 24.5 yards in the designated game. Each market specifies that if the player is active but never takes a snap, it settles to the fair market price before game start. Upon taking at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market resolves based on the longest reception recorded. Kalshi emphasizes it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on betting action, but this market allows anyone to take a position, potentially leading to a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as information becomes available and traders refine their assessments. Observing these differences can be insightful for both seasoned bettors and those new to prediction markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each player having the longest reception. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player achieving the longest reception. This mechanism allows the market to aggregate diverse perspectives and arrive at a collective prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the longest reception recorded during the Dallas versus New York game will determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a reputable sports data provider, will be used to verify the result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is officially verified. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the prices in this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key receivers, would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds, could also impact passing strategies and affect which players are favored to achieve a long reception. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and unexpected lineup changes could also contribute to price movements. Additionally, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price fluctuations in this market.