TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jaxson Dart will achieve over 200 passing yards in the Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Jaxson Dart recording 200+ passing yards. The market will resolve based on official game statistics, as determined by whether Jaxson Dart records 150+ passing yards in the Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled game date of September 13, 2026, to allow for official statistics to be finalized.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback records the specified passing yard threshold in the Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based solely on the total passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution regardless of the yardage threshold specified.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of various outcomes in the Dallas versus New York game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual passing yards will fall within the range it represents. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment regarding the Dallas versus New York game.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage totals from the Dallas versus New York game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the actual game results and the accuracy of the market’s predictions.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either the Dallas or New York teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence expectations for passing yardage. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could shift the market’s assessment of the likely outcome in this NFL passing yards market.