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Closed: Sep 13, 11:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Jaxson Dart will throw 4+ passing touchdowns and Dak Prescott will throw 3+ passing touchdowns in the Dallas vs New York G professional football game. Currently, the probability of Jaxson Dart achieving 4+ passing touchdowns is 44.0%, while Dak Prescott achieving 3+ is at 27.0%. The market resolves based on official game statistics as reported by the resolution source: If Jaxson Dart records 4+ passing touchdowns in the Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Keep an eye on team injury reports leading up to the game on September 13, 2026, as quarterback availability will be a key factor.
These markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by specified Dallas or New York quarterbacks in the game scheduled for September 13, 2026. For any market, if the named quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether plays are nullified by penalties—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, etc.), and resolution is binary: Yes if the threshold is met, No otherwise. All markets are independent, meaning the performance of one quarterback or one threshold does not affect others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all league-related names and logos remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome as more information becomes available and more volume is traded. It's common to see this market move in response to news, injuries, or changes in public perception, potentially leading to discrepancies with traditional sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a margin system, and traders must deposit collateral to cover potential losses, influencing the price discovery process.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the specified game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results as they become available following the conclusion of the game to understand the market's settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly the quarterback or top receiving targets, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions unfavorable to passing, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or offensive schemes could influence trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to shifts in the prices within this market as traders react to new information.