TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the number of passing completions achieved by specific quarterbacks in a professional football game. Outcomes depend on whether the designated player meets or exceeds various completion thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total passing completions recorded by the specified quarterback in the Dallas vs New York G game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the named player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all threshold markets for both Jaxson Dart and Dak Prescott, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the specific completion target.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a large number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing the likely number of passing completions, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own expectations, causing the price to fluctuate in real-time. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the collective forecast of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing completions from the Dallas versus New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring that the market accurately reflects the actual event outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, could also affect passing game strategies and therefore the expected number of completions. Unexpected shifts in coaching decisions or game plans could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and cause price fluctuations.