TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes depend on detailed statistical contributions across various in-game activities, measured by a standardized fantasy-point system.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players or team defense units record fantasy points above defined thresholds in the full game (including overtime) between Dallas and New York G on Sep 13, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive/special teams contributions according to precise rates and values—for example, passing yards award 0.04 points per yard (+1 per 25 yards), touchdowns vary by position, and defensive units earn points for touchdowns, sacks, interceptions, and points allowed. If a participant does not play or is not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper, they score 0 points. The official fantasy-point total published by Sleeper at market expiration is used without additional rounding or post-expiration corrections. All markets share these consistent scoring and resolution rules, ensuring uniformity across individual player and defensive unit performance evaluations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of likely outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes value lies compared to traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system, incorporating new information as it becomes available. The goal is to converge towards a fair price reflecting the true likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for both the Dallas and New York teams will be used to determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on official fantasy scoring rules as defined by a major fantasy sports provider. Traders will be able to see the verified results on Kalshi after the event concludes, and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the Dallas vs New York fantasy points market. Player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for key players on either team would likely cause significant shifts. News regarding player performance, such as a star player’s recent struggles or a breakout performance by a lesser-known player, could also move the market. Additionally, broader news related to team strategies or coaching decisions might impact trader sentiment. Any updates affecting the perceived scoring potential of either team could lead to price fluctuations in this market.