TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:32 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which specific player or unit will score the first touchdown for the New York team in an upcoming football game against Dallas. Each market is tied to a different potential scorer, allowing participants to bet on their preferred candidate to achieve this milestone first.
Each market determines whether a specified New York player or unit scores the first touchdown in the game. If the designated player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once the player takes a snap, the outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no New York touchdowns are scored, all player-specific markets resolve to No, and the 'No New York G Touchdown' market resolves to Yes. The markets operate independently, with each resolving based on the performance of its specific participant.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to represent the true probability of the event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information becomes available and more people trade, potentially revealing insights that differ from initial sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event draws nearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether the first New York Giants touchdown will occur. The price of a 'yes' contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that event happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of the first Giants touchdown. The current price is determined solely by the interactions of buyers and sellers on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, following the completion of the Dallas versus New York game. The outcome will be determined by identifying the first touchdown scored by the New York Giants during the game. This will be verified against credible public reporting from official sports sources. The market will then settle based on whether a New York Giants touchdown was indeed the first one scored in the game, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dallas or New York Giants would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any shifts in public sentiment or expert predictions, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price leading up to the game and the resolution of this market.